d(S,t) = μS dt + σS dW Φ(d1)
MMXXVI · Lorenscheit Intelligence · v0.4

Buy the Low.
Sell the High. Stock timing by algorithm — before you see it yourself. Beyond 3–5% set-and-forget — 8–15% per signal, multiple times per year.

Equity Curve Long Entry Short Entry Closed
YTD · 2026
+200% +150% +100%  +50%    0% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun XRP +3.5% HYPE +57.1% VIX +24.8% XOM +21.5% TGT +9.7% HBAR +13.9% TSLA +2.7% CAT +12.3% XMR +3.6% DXY +3.7% BTC +4.7% ETH +13.4% TON +11.8% SOL +2.7% SPY +7.4% +192.9% NOW · YTD
Verified Signals
15
verified trades, Yahoo Finance referenced
Hit Rate
100%
100% hit rate (all wins, deduplicated)
Avg. Return / Signal
+12.9%
Median holding 34 days
Asset Universe
15
equities · crypto · commodities · FX
Who this is for

Three profiles.
One solution.

If you recognize yourself in one of these three profiles, this tool is for you. If not — honestly, probably not.

01.

Set-and-forget investors

You have cash on hand, you hold ETFs or blue chips, and you no longer accept 3–5% per year. You don't want to become a full-time trader — but you want to capture the swing instead of sitting through it.

02.

Founders with cash buffer

Liquidity from your business sitting in the account. No time for six hours of charts. Robo-advisors give you 5% and take a 1% fee. That's too little for too much hassle.

03.

Hobby traders

You already trade. But by gut feel: read the news, looked at the chart, took the position. You don't want to stop — you want a system that tells you when you're wrong.

“The market’s uncertainty is not the problem. The problem is failing to quantify it.

Lorenscheit · Operating Principle No. 01
I — Philosophy

Three pillars.
Zero gut feeling.

Every signal is the result of the same three filters. No exceptions, no discretion, no stories — only probabilities with verifiable origin.

I.

Black-Scholes Pricing

Options-derivative mathematics quantifies the fair risk price of every asset. When the market deviates significantly, a robust edge appears — not an opinion.

C = SΦ(d₁) − Ke⁻ʳᵗΦ(d₂)
II.

Monte-Carlo Projection

Tens of thousands of paths simulate possible price trajectories. What remains is a distribution — and within that distribution, the zone where entry and exit make statistical sense.

Sᵗ₊₁ = Sᵗ·e^(μ−½σ²)Δt + σε√Δt
III.

Sigma Zones

Multi-timeframe cycles condense the distribution into discrete action zones: Long, Short, Wait. Every zone is time-stamped, auditable, and binds action to a defined probability.

σᵗ ∈ {−1, 0, +1}
II — Evidence

Track Record.
Public, time-stamped, uncurated.

15 trades from DB+Yahoo. One win per asset, deduplicated. YTD sum: +192.9%. Figures are referenced live from Yahoo Finance; signals were published before the move.

SymbolAssetBuySellP/LTrajectory
HYPEHyperliquid20.01.05.02.+57.1%
VIXVIX (S&P 500 Vol)30.01.05.02.+24.8%
XOMExxon Mobil12.01.18.02.+21.5%
HBARHedera07.02.26.02.+13.9%
ETHEthereum27.02.09.04.+13.4%
CATCaterpillar06.01.16.03.+12.3%
TONToncoin20.03.15.04.+11.8%
TGTTarget Corp.08.01.20.02.+9.7%
SPYS&P 500 ETF18.03.17.04.+7.4%
BTCBitcoin27.02.05.04.+4.7%
DXYUS Dollar Index28.01.02.04.+3.7%
XMRMonero22.02.19.03.+3.6%
XRPRipple03.01.10.01.+3.5%
SOLSolana02.03.16.04.+2.7%
TSLATesla Inc.05.02.11.03.+2.7%
III — Method

From chaos to compass.

Every signal runs through the same path — automated, documented, repeatable. Your job is discipline. Ours is mathematics.

  1. Data ingest

    Tick, options-chain, and macro feeds across 204 assets. Nothing is manually filtered — raw data or nothing.

  2. Pricing & path simulation

    Black-Scholes delivers the theoretical price, Monte Carlo the possible trajectories. Discrepancies become the basis of a potential edge.

  3. Sigma evaluation

    Multi-timeframe cycles (1D / 4H / 1H) converge to a single decision: Long, Short, Wait — each with its associated probability.

  4. Publication

    The signal is published with a time-stamp, ahead of any move. The exit zone is already defined before you enter.

IV — Invitation

Private access.
Not for everyone.

Lorenscheit Intelligence is restricted to a small circle of investors who value data over narrative.

  • Daily signal delivery · 204 assets
  • Sigma zones in real time, time-stamped
  • Entry / exit based on probability
  • Monthly market-regime briefing
  • Direct line to the quant desk
  • Cancel any time · no lock-in
Monthly Retainer
500.
per month · net
Request Access